Top three charts of the week: US500, SILVER, CHFPLN,

12:29 23 July 2019

Summary:

  • Bearish signal (bearish engulfing) on US500
  • Silver broke out of the key resistance
  • CHFPLN with a chance of breaking a consolidation

Starting with the American stock market index of the largest 500 companies, we could see a downward correction last week, which led to the emergence of a supply signal - the candlestick pattern of bearish engulfing. However, it should be taken into account that the exchange rate is above the latest highs and the trend is upward. The candlestick signal may be not enough, but there is a risk of a bigger downward correction. In order to make a bigger downward movement, the price would have to go below the last highs. Therefore, the key support should be the zone with 2960 handle. Despite the fact that Friday's session ended at its lowest point, there is no continuation of the downward movement. It should also be taken into account that the US is in the season of company result publications, therefore in order for a larger correction to occur, some disappointment would have to appear. US500 with supply signal at W1 interval. Source: xStation5

The second analysed instrument is silver which price has risen by more than 6% in just a few days. We have not seen such a large rally for a long time. Technically speaking, the key resistance zone determined by this year’s highs was overcome. As long as silver price is above that zone, we should assume a persistence of an upward trend. Currently, the price target for bulls should be located around  38.2% retracement of the whole downward swing (starting from the highs in 2016). The price was very close to these levels last week. In case of stronger upward move, the next resistance zone should be around 50% retracement. At the moment, it seems that bull side has the advantage over the sellers as the last rally was very strong. On the other hand, a downward correction can not be ruled out after such a strong move. Silver has broken an important technical resistance. Source: xStation5

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The last instrument in this analysis is CHFPLN. The currency pair has been moving in a narrow consolidation since September 2018. Currently, the exchange rate is at exactly the same level as upper limit of mentioned consolidation, so there is a risk of a possible price breakout. The resistance zone of 3.8600 is additionally confirmed by the Fibo retracement of 50%. Therefore, if a breakout occurs, the target for buyers should be at the next Fibo level of 61.8%. There is a lot of room for possible further increases, the mentioned retracement is located at the level of 3.9450 PLN. Of course, there is also a risk of the price fall, so with the final assessment of the situation should be made after the close of weekly cande. If the W1 candle closes above the level of 3.86 PLN, it will be a high breakout, while the reversal and upper shade will be an indication of a return to consolidation. A chance to break out of a consolidation on the CHFPLN currency pair. Source: xStation5

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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