Technical Overview: GBPUSD

14:01 10 June 2019

Summary:

  • Data from the United Kingdom disappointed on Monday
  • Potential inverse head and shoulders pattern can be spotted on the H4 interval
  • The pound is trading almost 0.5% against the dollar

 

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GBPUSD trades near the key support zone from a weekly interval. On the W1 interval one could spot a candlestick pattern that often heralds an upward move and it was also the case this time. The demand-side struggles with moving higher. However, as long as the price is above 1.2600, an upward correction remains base case scenario. A test of the latest local low cannot be ruled out either.. One may expect an acceleration of the downward move once the price breaks below the 1.26 handle. . While the British currency keeps being pressured by Brexit turmoil, the data released today provided additional macroeconomic concerns.

Source: xStation5

Taking a look at the lower frame - H4 - one can spot the inverse head and shoulders pattern that is being painted. Of course, the demand signal will appear only when the zone marked with yellow color on the chart below is breached. Nevertheless, the pair is trading within the demand zone from the W1 interval and in case the pattern is validated an upward move towards the early-May high (1.3170 area) may be on the cards Prior to reaching the aforementioned high, buyers may struggle with the resistance level at 1.2870 handle.

Source: xStation5

Moving onto the M30 interval, one can see clearly how the disappointing UK data dented moods on the GBP market.  GBPUSD broke below the June 6 low and as long as the exchange rate remains below 1.2670, the short-term downward trend should prevail. There is a room to move as low as to the 1.2600 handle, where the lower limit of the support zone from W1 interval is localized.. However, a break back above the 1.2670 handle could mobilize bulls - in such a scenario buyers may try to push the price towards daily highs.

Source: xStation5

 

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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