⏬⏬NATGAS plunges 8%

14:29 19 April 2022

NATGAS retreats from $ 8 MMBTU area

Price of natural gas pulled back sharply, despite the still high uncertainty related to the potential suspension of exports from Russia to European Union. At the moment, Hungary strongly opposes the idea of ​​imposing further sanctions on Russia. Germany and Austria also speak in similar manner.

Downward move occured, despite a short-term increase in demand from the US, caused by low temperatures in some parts of the country. At the moment, US gas inventories are approx. 18% below the 5-year average, but at the same time they remain at a very high level in terms of annual consumption. The demand in this period is approx. 15% higher compared to last year.

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Gas is retreating as new forecasts indicate a decline in global demand for this commodity in 2022, mainly due to Russia's attack on Ukraine. In addition, Cheniere, one of the largest LNG exporters in the world, indicates that due to the global price increase, there will be an increase in the production of gas itself and an increase in LNG exports, which may in the long term limit price increases. Goldman Sachs also believes that current gas pricing is driven primarily by concerns rather than short-term or long-term fundamental factors.

NATGAS price fell from its 14-year highs around $ 8.0 which was marked with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the last downward wave launched in 2008. If sellers manage to push the price below  $7.0, then downward move may accelerate towards the key support area around $ 6.2-6.3 MMBTU. Source: xStation5

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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