Morning wrap (26.12.2023)

07:17 26 December 2023
  • Today marks the first trading session after Christmas, but not all markets are operating normally. Some commodity markets remain closed, and European traders are still on holiday.
  • As trading resumed on the foreign exchange market after the Christmas holiday period, the dollar extended its losses, while futures for US indices gained, and cryptocurrencies saw a slight reduction in their recent gains.
  • The US500 index is up 0.13%, while the US100 index is gaining as much as 0.27%. Historical data indicates that US indices typically rise on the first day after Christmas.
  • Precious metals are benefiting from the weak dollar. Gold is up 0.5%, while silver is up over 1%.
  • Bitcoin declines more than 2% and stays below 43000 USD. 
  • During the Asian trading session, indices were losing ground. The CH50 (China 50) index fell 0.35%, the JP225 (Nikkei 225) index declined 0.15%, and the SG20 index (MSCI Singapore) was down 0.70%.
  • Oil is flat in the morning, but Natgas is lower nearly 4%. The Christmas season in the US was one of the warmest on record. On the other hand, weather forecasts indicate cooling in the coming weeks.
  • A few remarks from BOJ Governor Hiroshi Ueda suggest that the central bank's monetary policy stance remains unchanged. Ueda noted that the policy would only be adjusted if the positive wage-inflation cycle strengthens. This means that any decision will depend on the outcome of spring wage negotiations. The USDJPY exchange rate is marginally lower but remains above the 142 level.
  • The only macroeconomic reading released during the Asian trading session was Japan's unemployment rate, which remained unchanged at 2.5% in line with expectations. However, the jobs/applicants ratio fell slightly to 1.28 from 1.3.
  • A New York Times report published over the weekend suggested that Russian President Vladimir Putin is privately open to ceasefire talks. However, the report also acknowledged that this could be a ploy to mislead the public, and a Kremlin official denied the veracity of the claim.
  • Today's macroeconomic calendar is light, with just two readings: housing prices in the US and the December Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index.

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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