GBP gains in spite of NI protocol confusion

13:51 27 February 2023

UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak met at Windsor with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen today to discuss Brexit. more precisely, to discuss the so-called Northern Ireland protocol. This is one of the final outstanding issues preventing the Brexit chapter from closing. Rishi Sunak is set to deliver a statement on discussions to the UK Chamber of Commons at 6:30 pm GMT. However, there is a lot of confusion around the outcome of talks.

Steve Baker, British Minister of State for Northern Ireland and a Brexit hardliner, asked by reporters as he left Downing Street 10 said that Prime Minister Sunak was at a cusp of securing a fantastic deal. Later, the media reported that Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) of Northern Ireland liked the deal and is ready to accept it soon. However, this optimism was put under question later on when DUP leader Donaldson told reporters that he is neither positive, nor negative on the outcome of talks and that his party will need to take time to analyze the proposal and how it answers DUP's concerns.

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Having said that, there is a lot of uncertainty and the statement from Sunak at 6:30 pm GMT today may be simply an update rather than an announcement. Nevertheless, GBP has traded higher throughout the day and is the best performing G10 currency at press time. Taking a look at GBPUSD chart at D1 interval, we can see that the pair bounced off the support zone marked with 38.2% retracement of the downward move launched in mid-2021. However, it should be said that a bulk of this move was driven by USD weakening following disappointing durable orders data for January at 1:30 pm GMT.

Source: xStation5

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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