ECB Rate Expectations: Expectations regarding the ECB policy rates remained largely unchanged, although there was some adjustment following the U.S. CPI data release. ECB members agreed that it was appropriate to keep interest rates at the current level at this meeting.
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The ECB is preparing to review the level of monetary restrictiveness at their upcoming meeting, considering recent economic data and financial market conditions.
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Snap elections in France and weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data caused temporary volatility and a modest rise in risk premiums in financial markets.
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Despite initial disturbances, euro area financial markets quickly regained stability with no signs of systemic stress, and risk premiums only rose modestly.
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Financial conditions remained broadly stable with strong investor demand continuing to support government bond markets.
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Developments in U.S. monetary policy and economic data influenced euro area financial expectations, particularly with the shift in expectations for U.S. rate cuts.
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Core inflation in the euro area (excluding energy and food) continued to exceed expectations, suggesting higher long-term inflation risks.
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There were mixed developments in real interest rates within the euro area; long-term rates remained stable amid volatility, while shorter-term rates declined.
EURUSD weakens slightly after the publication, but the movement is limited.
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