Daily summary: Wall Street surges as traders returned from holiday

18:57 27 December 2021
  • European indices closed near their record highs
  • US500 hit new ATH
  • Goldman Sachs expects three interest hikes in 2022

The final week of 2021 starts really positively although it is worth remembering that we are also dealing with a limited volume. Also end of the year period, just like end of the quarter periods, are marked with big positioning changes among investment funds. Managers often engage in the so-called "window dressing" - an action of buying well-known shares with the intent of highlighting them among funds' top10 holding list. Underperforming stocks also tend to be sold at the year's end as investors seek to optimize their taxes.

Therefore it is not surprising that the S&P 500 index hit a new all-time high, while Nasdaq is trading slightly below record levels. Meanwhile Goldman Sachs, one of the most important investment banks in the world, expects three interest rate hikes from the Fed in the coming year and, more importantly, the first one is to take place in March. GS also believes that the Fed will keep the pace of monetary tightening on a quarterly basis, which means that key decisions will be taken during the meetings along with the publication of macroeconomic forecasts.

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During today’s session the dollar was under pressure which supported gold and oil prices. The end-of-year seasonality works well for Wall Street and gold. Of course, the indices have had a phenomenal year. However, this cannot be said about the precious metals market. In annual terms, gold has lost a few percent, but in the case of silver, palladium and platinum, losses can even exceed a dozen or so percent.

The last seven days have been very positive for Bitcoin, the price of which has risen almost 10% and broke above the $ 50,000 mark after a "Santa Claus rally" swept the cryptocurrency markets on Friday. Also, some altcoins, such as Polkadot and Cardano, rose sharply against BTC. However, it is worth noting that the end of the year as well as the first days of January are usually positive for Bitcoin. 

Silver fell sharply following the last FOMC decision, however buyers managed to halt declines around major support at $21.50 and price quickly rebounded. Currently silver is testing resistance at $23.00 which is marked with previous price reactions. Should a break higher occur, upward move may accelerate towards $23.60 which coincides with 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the downward correction launched in January 2021 and two SMA’s. Source: xStation5

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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