Daily summary: VIX rallies 26% as US stock market correction deepens

17:45 2 August 2024
  • Stock market in Asia, Europe and US declined today as investors fear weaker than expected NFP report data. German DAX lost 2.3% today, and British FTSE declined by 1.3%
  • Wall Street indices retreat today, with Russell 2000 dropping 3.8% and Nasdaq 100 extended yesterday declines by almost 2.8% today.  
  • Also, DJIA and S&P 500 loses today 2.13% and 2.56% respectively. Amazon shares lose 10% after weaker than expected earnings report and Intel slumps 27% after weak Q2 report; company plans 15000 job cuts
  • Nvidia loses 4% after media reports pointing to US Department of Justice probe, targeting company AI chips business. Apple shares gains almost 3% today, after stronger than expected results and business guidance
  • After much weaker than expected NFP report data and US stock market declines, VIX futures rallied 26% today session to levels not seen since March 2023 

US Non-Farm Payrolls in July came in 114k vs 175k exp. and 206k previously (the weakest since 2021)

  • US Unemployment rise to 4.3% vs 4.1% exp. and 4.1% previously
  • US average earnings YoY came in 3.6% vs 3.7% exp. and 3.9% previously (and 0.2% MoM vs 0.3% exp.)
  • Private payrolls: 97k vs 140k exp. and 136k previously
  • Manufacturing payrolls: 1k vs -5k exp. and -8k previously
  • Amazon shares lose 10% after weaker than expected earnings report and Intel slumps 27% after weak Q2 report; company plans 15000 job cuts
  • Nvidia loses 4% after media reports pointing to US Department of Justice probe, targeting company AI chips business. Also, Snap shares are dropping almost 25% today after disappointing Q2 earnings report
  • JPMorgan forecasts half-point Fed rate cuts in both September and November. Also, Citi forecasts 125 bps in Fed cuts this year after jobs data, 50 bps each in September & December, while Goldman Sachs adds a third quarter-point Fed cut to their 2024 forecast
  • OIL futures loses almost 4%, below $77 per barrel amid macro fears and erasing Middle East premium; OIL WTI loses 5%. NATGAS loses more than 2.2% 
  • Precious metals such as silver and gold loses 0.7% despite rising macro fears. Also, palladium prices are 2% lower.
  • USDIDX loses more than 1% today, and EURUSD rises 1.1% level, above 1.09 
  • Austen Goolsbee, chair of Chicago Federal Reserve, commented that US unemployment rising to 4.3% need some reaction from Federal Reserve
  • Bitcoin loses 2.3% today, with Ethereum and Solana prices dropping 4.5% and 6.5% respectively. Crypto also failed to rally despite rising Fed futures interest rates cuts bets

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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