Daily summary: US stocks mixed after FOMC minutes. Oil under heavy pressure

19:32 22 February 2023
  • European indices finished today's session lower with  Stoxx 600down 0.4% dragged down by mining and banks sectors. DAX closed slightly above flatline as German business morale improved further to an eight-month high, while CPI reports from Germany and France suggested inflation in Europe's largest economies will remain high for some time. 
  • Wall Street indices are swinging between gains and losses after publication of latest FOMC Minutes. Few officials favored raising it by 50bps, while all participants continued to anticipate that ongoing increases would be appropriate until data provided confidence that inflation was on a sustained downward path to 2%, which was likely to take some time.

  • Earlier FED Bullard said that the US economy is stronger than policymakers previously thought and the Fed should only slow down once it's got to the terminal rate. Bullard projects rates at 5.375%.

  • Energy commodities trade mixed. Natgas bounced off recent lows around $2.0, while oil fell over 2.5% as recession fears in the US put pressure on prices. Meanwhile Russia intends to reduce crude exports from western ports by a quarter in March/February, while Morgan Stanley has raised its global oil demand forecast for 2023 by 36%, an increase of 1.9 million bpd.

  • Precious metals erased early gains and are trading lower amid a slightly stronger dollar. Gold again approaches the crucial support zone around $1830, while silver once again bounced off resistance at $22.00 and pulled back below $21.60 level. 

  • The Australian dollar is the worst performing G10 currency today, dragged down by disappointing data, however AUDUSD sellers are unable to break below the crucial support zone around the 0.68 mark. NZD strengthened against other major currencies, boosted by RBNZ 50 bp rate hike. EURUSD pair continues to hover above the 1.06 level.

  • RBNZ governor Orr said in the evening that there are some early signs that inflation is abating, however core inflation remains too high.

  • Major cryptocurrencies fell sharply on Wednesday. Bitcoin tested $23,600 level, while Ethereum briefly dropped below $1600 support.

OIL price continues to move within the main downtrend. Recently, buyers again failed to break above EMA 100, which, according to the classical assumptions of technical analysis, points to potential move towards the recent lows. Source: xStation5

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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