Daily summary: Slightly correction starts on Wall Street. US2000 drops 1.6%, Tesla slides 6.5% 📉

18:44 12 November 2024
  • The mood during the European and Asian sessions was weaker today. The DAX index retreated 2%, and the British FTSE fell more than 1.2%. The Hang Seng retreated more than 2.8%, on a wave of disappointing results from a stimulus program that the market deemed clearly insufficient. The index retreated below 20,000 points
  • Germany's ZEW index indicated a sizable drop in economic sentiment to 7.4 versus 13 forecast and 13.1 previously. Germany's assessment of current conditions fell to -91.4 from -86.9 in the previous reading; well below forecasts of -85.9, which called for a slight improvement.
  • U.S. indexes are recording declines in the second part of the U.S. session. Downward pressure is evident in the Russell 2000 index, with contracts losing nearly 2%. The US500 and US100 are losing in the -0.3% to -0.5% range. The U.S. dollar index rises to multi-month highs above 106, and 10-year bond yields rise 12 basis points to 4.45%. Weaker data from Europe and a strong U.S. economy send the EURUSD down nearly -0.4% today
  • Tesla shares are down more than 6%, where we see accelerated profit taking after a wave of recent 'astronomical' gains. The semiconductor sector is also performing poorly, with Micron Technology's shares losing over 5% after a report from Edgewater Research suggesting lower prices for memory NAND chips in 2025
  • The strong dollar is putting pressure on the precious metals market, with gold losing nearly 1% and palladium retreating 4%. Among agricultural commodities, cotton futures on ICE are losing heavily. Nearly 2% is lost on the CBOT for wheat and soybeans, where the expensive dollar favors lower prices. Energy commodities i.e. natural gas and oil are not seeing much volatility today 
  • The New York Fed's survey of 3-year expected inflation in the U.S. fell to 2.5% in October from 2.7% previously, and the 5-year inflation rate fell to 2.8% from 2.9% previously. U.S. households viewed inflation at 2.9% in 2025. This is the lowest forecast in four years.
  • US households see the lowest probability of an increase in the U.S. unemployment rate over the next year since February 2022. They also pointed to a lower probability of losing their current job and better prospects of finding a new one if they are laid off; October saw a decline in the probability of debt default, the first time in 5 months.
  • Comments from the Fed's Barkin and Waller indicate that policy has already been adjusted, to a less restrictive level, and future moves by the bank will depend on data. The Fed will turn its attention to inflation or a decline in employment. Waller criticized the idea of creating a so-called CBDC currency.
  • The cryptocurrency market is still in an upbeat mood; Bitcoin remains above $87.5K, and Ripple is up more than 10%, to around $0.7, on a wave of news about a possible meeting between CEO Brad Garlinghous and Donald Trump.
  • According to Washington Post reports, Donald Trump will consider halting the blockade of TikTok in the US. Snap shares fell more than 5% today; partly under pressure from these comments, suggesting a 'consolidation' of its largest competitor in the domestic market
  • Bank of America estimates 13% y/y earnings per share growth among S&P 500 companies in 2025. 
  • According to the Sawyer Merritt report, Rivian lost about $39,100 on each car produced in the third quarter of the year. In Q2, the loss was $32,700. The EV manufacturer's shares are losing more than 4% today


Source: xStation5

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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