Daily Summary: Powell Gives Green Light for Rate Cuts

17:46 23 August 2024
  • European indices end the day in green. On the continent, Spain's IBEX35 and Italy's ITA40 grew the most, by over 1%. The Swiss index and German DAX ended similarly. The domestic WIG20 grew by only 0.5%
  • American indices sharply up, with Russell 2000 leading with over 2.9% upward movement. Meanwhile, the indices reduced gains and erased most of the additional positive movement related to Powell's speech at Jackson Hole
  • Powell, during his speech at Jackson Hole, confirmed readiness to start interest rate cuts, stating that the time has come to adjust policy
  • According to Powell, the balance of risk factors has changed, inflation has significantly decreased, and the Fed doesn't want to allow further cooling in the job market
  • At the same time, Powell doesn't indicate a risk of economic collapse
  • The pace of interest rate cuts in the US, their number, and size will depend on data
  • Other bankers during the Jackson Hole symposium pointed to the need for interest rate cuts (Harker, Bostic). Bailey from BoE indicated that the fight against inflation is not over
  • As a result, we observed strong increases in GBPUSD. The pair rose above July 2023 peaks and reached its highest level since April 2022
  • The USDPLN pair fell to its lowest level in 3 years
  • The US dollar is approaching the 2023 low. Gold is recovering yesterday's losses and trying to close near the peaks
  • Market confidence in further interest rate cuts in the eurozone is also growing, which is associated with the continued weak state of the European economy
  • Peloton shares are up more than 5% after yesterday's impressive 35% increase. Cameco gains 6% due to lowered uranium production outlook in Kazakhstan
  • WTI breaks out of support around $72.5 per barrel, rising over 2.5% today and approaching $75 per barrel. Oil reacts positively to announcements of interest rate cuts and once again prices in the decrease in oil inventories presented by the DOE
  • Bitcoin again moved past the 61,500 USD zone and the 50 SMA with a daily increase of over 2.6%
  • New home sales in the US increased by over 10% for July to 739,000 from 617,000, indicating that the real estate market remains resilient to high interest rates
  • Retail sales in Canada fell by 0.3% m/m, in line with expectations, but core sales unexpectedly rose by 0.3% m/m. USDCAD fell significantly to the level of 1.3500

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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