BREAKING: EUR dips after German CPI data

13:04 29 February 2024

German flash CPI inflation data for February was released today at 1:00 pm GMT. Market was expecting slowdown in headline CPI from 2.9% to 2.6% YoY. However, data from France and Spain released earlier today showed smaller-than-expected slowdown in price growth, raising fears that German reading will also surprise to the upside. State-level data released throughout the day strongly hinted that overall German reading will show a slowdown.

Actual German reading stood in contrast to French and Spanish data as headline CPI inflation in Germany slowed more than expected in February. On a monthly basis, price growth was slower than expected. EUR dipped following the release as data can be seen as dovish. Interestingly, a small drop could also be spotted on DE40 market.

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Germany, flash CPI inflation for February

  • Annual: 2.5% YoY vs 2.6% YoY expected (2.9% YoY previously)
  • Monthly: +0.4% MoM vs +0.5% MoM expected (+0.2% MoM previously

German state-level CPI readings for February

  • Hesse: 2.1% YoY vs 2.2% YoY previously
  • Bavaria: 2.6% YoY vs 2.9% YoY previously
  • Brandenburg: 3.5% YoY vs 3.7% YoY previously
  • Saxony: 3.0% YoY vs 3.5% YoY previously
  • Baden Wuerttemberg: 2.7% YoY vs 3.2% YoY previously
  • North Rhine Westphalia: 2.6% YoY vs 3.0% YoY previously

EURUSD broke below 1.0830 support zone following release of German CPI data for February and is now looking towards a test of the 200-hour moving average (purple line). Source: xStation5

This content has been created by XTB S.A. This service is provided by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, entered in the register of entrepreneurs of the National Court Register (Krajowy Rejestr Sądowy) conducted by District Court for the Capital City of Warsaw, XII Commercial Division of the National Court Register under KRS number 0000217580, REGON number 015803782 and Tax Identification Number (NIP) 527-24-43-955, with the fully paid up share capital in the amount of PLN 5.869.181,75. XTB S.A. conducts brokerage activities on the basis of the license granted by Polish Securities and Exchange Commission on 8th November 2005 No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005 and is supervised by Polish Supervision Authority.

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