- The 2024 US presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump may take days or even weeks to determine a winner. Close polling results and complex vote-counting processes could lead to increased political and social tension.
- Each state's unique voting and vote-counting rules affect result reporting timelines. This diversity, characteristic of the US federal system, complicates the national electoral process.
- Some state laws may slow vote counting, particularly for mail-in and early votes. These security-focused regulations can significantly extend the process.
- Nearly 81 million voters cast early ballots, over half the expected turnout. This trend, intensified during the COVID-19 pandemic, continues to reshape Election Day dynamics.
- The order of vote counting may lead to premature conclusions, potentially causing misleading early leads and voter uncertainty.
- While the Associated Press remains the primary authority for announcing winners, other organizations like Decision Desk HQ also provide projections. These forecasts, though crucial for public information, are not official results.
- The Electoral College meets on December 17 to cast votes, with final Congressional certification on January 6. This unique process combines popular and electoral voting systems.
- Close results or challenges in swing states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) may further delay determining the winner. These states often decide presidential elections.
- Though generally accurate, past instances of erroneous announcements highlight the need for caution in vote-counting and result-announcing processes.
- The complex American electoral system, including provisional, mail-in, and overseas votes, may cause result delays. While ensuring fairness and accessibility, this complexity can lead to confusion.
Pennsylvania exemplified such uncertainty in 2020, where initial counts favored Trump, but final tallies on Saturday gave Biden the win, aligning with earlier exit polls. Source: Bloomberg Finance LP
Start investing today or test a free demo
Open real account TRY DEMO Download mobile app Download mobile appThe content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.