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📉US100 loses 1,7% after Nvidia earnings

11:32 pm 28 August 2024

📌Nasdaq loses despite strong Q2 Nvidia results

Nvidia (NVDA.US) shares are trading 4% lower, following the release of its fiscal Q2 2024 (Q2) results. The company's report also set off a downward movement on the Nasdaq 100 (US100). US100 contracts lost nearly 1.8% and deepened declines after a weaker close to the session. Revenues turned out to be slightly lower, than 'unofficial' expectations; markets would likely have been satisfied with results above $30 billion for the quarter, the company reported 'evenly' at $30 billion. Here's how the numbers fared, against consensus:

  • Revenues: $30 billion vs. $28.85 billion forecast (the company pointed to $28.56 billion) vs. $26.04 billion in Q1 2024 and $13.51 billion in Q2 2023. 
  • Adjusted earnings per share (EPS): $0.67 vs. $0.64 analysts' forecasts (12% higher than in Q1 and 168% higher than last year)
  • Data Center revenue: $26.3 billion vs. $25.07 billion forecasts and $22.06 billion in Q1 2024
  • Gross margin came in line with expectations at 75% (-3pp Q/Q), with operating margin 62% (-3pp Q/Q)
  • NVIDIA will pay quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share on October 3, 2024, with record date of September 12, 2024
  • The Board of Directors approved an additional $50.0 billion in share repurchase authorization, without expiration.

Revenue came in up 15% from Q1 and up 122% from a year ago. Data Center revenue up 16% from Q1 and up 154% from a year ago. Nvidia expects $32.5 billion in Q3 2023, while analysts had predicted $31.9 billion on average, with estimates even $37.9 billion. Q2 earnings report came in very strong, however not enough to drive valuations further. Market sentiments after today session are little nervous, with VIX gaining almost 6% today.

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Nvidia CEO, Jensen Huang commented fiscal Q2 2025 earnings: “Hopper demand remains strong, and the anticipation for Blackwell is incredible (...) NVIDIA achieved record revenues as global data centers are in full throttle to modernize the entire computing stack with accelerated computing and generative AI (..) “Blackwell samples are shipping to our partners and customers. Spectrum-X Ethernet for AI and NVIDIA AI Enterprise software are two new product categories achieving significant scale, demonstrating that NVIDIA is a full-stack and data center-scale platform. Across the entire stack and ecosystem, we are helping frontier model makers to consumer internet services, and now enterprises. Generative AI will revolutionize every industry.”

The first reaction to the results was mixed, followed by a larger downward movement. The final market reaction will likely have to wait, until the US market opens tomorrow. Investors, however, did not 'buy' the report as justifying the company's high valuations and expectations.

US100 (H1 interval)
Source: xStation5
Source: Nvidia

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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