Morning wrap (22.01.2025)

8:56 am 22 January 2025

  • Yesterday, the S&P 500 rose 0.9%, Nasdaq 100 added 0.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.2%. The Russell 2000 of small caps gained almost 1.8%. A gauge of the “Magnificent Seven” stocks added 0.3%. After the session on Wall Street, Donald Trump proposed 10% China tariff
  • Wall Street indices futures are trading marginally lower after yesterday very solid session, except for the US100, which is gaining 0.4% thanks in part to Netflix's excellent performance. The giant's shares rose 11% after the session, as the company reported much stronger than expected quarterly results, opening the 'US BigTech' earnings season. Also, United Airlines gains almost 4% after issuing strong business outlook
  • Netflix posted revenues of $10.25 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024, up 16% year-on-year. Net profit was $1.87 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) reached $4.27, beating analysts' forecasts of $4.20 EPS.
  • In the quarter under review, Netflix reported a record gain of 19 million new subscribers, to 302 million, versus expectations of around 290 million. This result significantly exceeded analysts' forecasts, who expected an increase of about 9.77 million new subscribers.
  • Shares in Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan rose in response to Trump's promise for an AI investment drive, which boosted a technology sector. However, Chinese stocks defied the trend when the new US president stated that he is still mulling a 10% tariff on all Chinese goods. China's mainland stocks benchmark CSI 300 Index drops 1.3%, while Hang Send Index loses 1.8%
  • Volatility in the currency market is very limited. About 0.15% is lost by the dollar index, EURUSD gains less than 0.2%. The USDJPY pair records a 0.3% increase
  • Gold gains nearly 0.1% and rises to nearly $1,748 per ounce; sentiment in the precious metals market is positive. Among agricultural commodities, wheat loses the most, with CBOT contracts retreating nearly 1%
  • Cryptocurrencies are trading in mixed sentiment, with Bitcoin 'consolidating' in the $104.5k-$106k range. The market is still waiting to hear about Bitcoin's strategic reserve in the U.S., which, for the time being, is not being announced by the new administration
  • Today's session will not be full of key macro data; the most important reading will be the Conference Board survey index of leading indicators from the US, for December, scheduled at 3 PM GMT. In addition, Christine Lagarde, president of the ECB, and Joachim Nabel of the Bundesbank will speak.
  • The BoJ is expected to hike interest rates at its policy meeting this week, according to Kyodo News.

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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