Daily summary: uncertain gains on Wall Street, sell-off in Europe and Bitcoin below 100k 📄

8:40 pm 19 December 2024

  • Sentiment on Wall Street remains weak, with indices struggling to recover from yesterday's steep declines. Despite slight gains at the opening of the cash session, most profits have now been pared back. The US500 and US100 are up 1.45% due to overnight contract rollovers, but spot contract changes are much smaller, at 0.35% and 0.00%, respectively.

  • Accenture leads gains (+6.7%) on Wall Street following better-than-expected Q1 FY2025 results. The company's net profit reached nearly $2.3 billion (vs. $1.98 billion expected), and its 2025 forecasts were raised, driven by anticipated demand growth for AI solutions.

  • Tripadvisor is up 8% after announcing a $435 million acquisition of Liberty TripAdvisor Holdings, aimed at simplifying its capital structure through debt repayment, share issuance, and cash payments.

  • European indices closed in the red: German DAX (-1.35%), French CAC 40 (-1.22%), British FTSE 100 (-1.14%), Italian FTSE MIB (-1.78%), Spanish IBEX 35 (-1.53%), and Swiss SMI (-1.93%).

  • In the US, Q3 2024 GDP growth exceeded expectations (3.1% vs. 2.8% forecast, previously 3%). The US GDP reading supports the FOMC's stance and Jerome Powell's remarks at yesterday's Fed conference, highlighting stronger-than-expected growth and slightly higher core inflation pressures.

  • The December Philadelphia Manufacturing Index indicates a decline in manufacturing activity in the region, with the current activity indicator remaining negative. Despite this, firms reported increases in employment and prices.

  • As expected, the Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged at 4.75%. However, the vote split is notable, with 6 MPC members voting to hold rates and 3 advocating for a cut, signaling continued pressure for rate reductions in the UK. The pound weakened following the decision.

  • Norway’s interest rate also remained unchanged at 4.50%, in line with market expectations. The Norwegian krone remained stable.

  • Among G10 currencies, the Swedish krona (SEK Spot: +0.95%) appreciated the most, followed by the Canadian and Australian dollars (each up ~0.5%). The USD continued its strength (+0.3%), while the Japanese yen weakened sharply (-1.83%) after the Bank of Japan expressed uncertainty over further rate hikes.

  • Bitcoin is down 2.00%, falling below the 100k USD barrier. The decline continues despite yesterday’s sharp sell-off following the FOMC decision.

  • El Salvador signed an agreement with the IMF, committing to significant restrictions on its pro-cryptocurrency policies. The agreement includes a $1.4 billion loan.

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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