- European indices rose sharply on Monday, with DAX up 2.4% and the CAC40 adding 1.95% led by cyclicals, financials and materials stocks.
-
ECB members see a growing risk that they will have to raise their key interest rate to 2% or more despite a likely recession, according to Reuters.
-
Ukrainian forces retook some key areas in the Kharkiv region, which also supported upbeat moods.
-
Broadly higher risk sentiment can be spotted across US markets ahead of tomorrow’s highly anticipated CPI report, which is expected to show a slowdown in inflation.
-
Meanwhile, New York Fed 1 year inflation expectations fall to 5.75%, a 10-month low, from 6.2%, while 3-year inflation expectations fell to lowest in nearly 2 years at 2.8% vs 3.2% in July.
-
Risk-on moods and weaker US dollar also support commodities prices. WTI oil rose over 1.0% and is trading, while Brent jumped nearly 2.0% and is testing $94.00 per barrel. NATGAS added over 4.0%.
-
Gold rose over 1.0% and is trading around $1730 per ounce, while silver skyrocketed over 5.0% and is approaching psychological resistance at $20.00 per ounce.
-
Agricultural commodities benefited from the upbeat market mood. Corn price rose over 2.0% while soybean surged 6.0% despite supply increases from Argentina and Ukraine. Also WASDE report point to lower production, exports and ending stocks.
-
On the FX market could observe further dollar weakness as investors expect easing price pressures. Currently GBP and EUR are the best performing major currencies while JPY and USD lag the most.
-
The sentiment in the cryptocurrency market is relatively mixed. Bitcoin is now gaining over 3.5% and broke above resistance at $ 22,000. Ethereum is doing much worse ahead of switching to the PoS protocol this week. The second largest cryptocurrency is currently losing 1.3%.
USDIDX - the dollar index continues to weaken, as ECB hawkish outlook weighed on the greenback. Broadly higher risk sentiment across markets comes ahead of the highly expected US CPI report on Tuesday, which is expected to show a slowdown in inflation. However, surprise to the upside could lead to resumption of the main trend as it would support further tightening from the Fed. Nevertheless as long as the current sentiment prevails, the index may be heading towards a major support zone around 106.65, which is marked with lower limit of the 1:1 structure, upward trendline and previous price reactions. Source: xStation5
The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.