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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 77% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money

Daily summary: GOLD sets new all-time high, Wall Street mixed despite Waller remarks 🗽NATGAS gains to $2.73 per MMBtu after the rollover 📈

9:10 pm 20 September 2024

  • U.S. indexes are making up for declines after a weaker opening. The S&P 500 is already losing just 0.1%, the Dow Jones is up 0.2%, the Nasdaq 100 is down 0.3% and the Russell 2000 is losing almost 0.6%. Despite the 'three hags' day, volatility in the markets is relatively low
  • Waller's comments from the Fed supported the sentiment of stock indexes. Waller indicated that the Fed expects a much weaker PCE reading and expects a further strong decline in inflation, which at some point could even be a 'worry' for Fed
  • The markets were reassured by the comment that the Fed will loosen policy sharply, and the belief vis-à-vis strong 'disinflation' is to expect a further, aggressive cycle of reductions in the US
  • Disappointing FedEx results push the company's stock price down -13% to its lowest level since June this year. UPS (-2.5%) is also trading down on a wave of concerns about the state of the delivery company sector. 
  • The company last quarter posted its weakest profitability since 2009, in addition to weaker-than-forecast profits and revenues, and disappointed forecasts. 
  • Elliot Hill has been named Nike's new CEO. The CEO change comes after four years of John Donahoe. Hill's return is perceived as an opportunity to turn around Nike's earlier strategies. Following this news, the company's stock price is gaining more than 6%. 
  • Constellation Energy's shares are up more than 20% and rising to all-time highs on news of the reopening of the Three Miles Island nuclear power plant, which will power Microsoft's data centers
  • Shares of uranium companies are also gaining in response to the deal. Cameco is up 8%, and Uranium Energy Corp is up almost 5%. Stronger interest in nuclear power could lift demand for uranium ore
  • European indices have seen a correction after likely realizing gains following yesterday's rally. The DAX and CAC40 are losing -1.5% today, the FTSE 100 is down 1.2%, and Italy's IT40 is down 0.8%. The Stoxx Europe 600 ntouches a -1.4% discount. 
  • The bond market is seeing a rebound in yields today. Yields on U.S. 10-year bonds are up slightly to 3.73% (+1.5 bps), while German 10-year notes rose +1 bps to 2.2%. 
  • Among the G10 currencies, the Japanese yen is the weakest performer, losing 0.9% against a basket of currencies today after the Bank of Japan decided to leave interest rates unchanged. 

July retail sales in Canada rose above expectations. At the same time, the producer price index reading for August shows a -0.8% decline. This set of data supports a scenario in which the Bank of Canada can overcome inflation without driving the economy into recession. 
Retail sales (m/m): 0.9%

  • Forecast: 0.6%
  • Previously: -0.3% 

Retail sales excluding vehicles (m/m): 0.4%

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  • Forecast: 0.3% 
  • Previously: 0.3% 
  • Sentiment of the cryptocurrency market is still quite mixed; the price of Bitcoin has fallen below $63,000. Gold records further gains and is up 1.2% today to all-time highs, above $1,618 per ounce amid dovish signals from the Fed and further 'disinflation' optimism
  • NATGAS gains after the rollover to $2.72 per MMBtu. Among agricultural commodities, SUGAR posted the strongest gains today, while COFFEE contracts settled down nearly 3%. COTTON on ICE gave back some of the gains and retreated to $73.5 a bale

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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