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Chart of the day: USDNOK (20.06.2024)

11:16 am 20 June 2024

The Norwegian krone is gaining in value following Norges Bank's decision to keep interest rates unchanged at 4.5%. The bank communicated that interest rates will most likely remain in the 4.5% zone until the end of this year.

Inflation is still above the Norges Bank's target and the rapid increase in the cost of doing business will contribute to keeping inflation high in the future. The Norwegian central bank committee was concerned about the possibility that, if the interest rate is cut prematurely, inflation could remain above target for too long.

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Since the March report, inflation has turned out to be slightly lower than expected, while unemployment has increased in line with expectations. Improved sentiment in the corporate sector may push wage growth higher than previously expected, so future Norges Bank decisions may be directed at maintaining a conservative stance.

Reaction to the Norges Bank decision. Source: xStation 

From a slightly broader point of view, it seems that as long as the pair does not manage to break above the resistances set by the combination of the 50-, 100- and 200-day EMAs the downward pressure on the pair will continue. The most important region of support in case of further declines could be the level of 10.4300, where the minimum from the beginning of June runs. Source: xStation

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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