Chart of the day - Bitcoin (28.06.2024)

10:32 am 28 June 2024

Bitcoin is experiencing a moderate loss of around 0.15% today, dropping to the level of $61,500. Despite this, the price remains within the consolidation range that has persisted for over three months. The bulls managed to defend the support below $60,000 and, after briefly testing the $58,500 levels, returned above this zone. However, concerns arise from recent negative news that may indicate increased supply in the coming months.

  • The German government has started transferring nearly $7 billion to central exchanges in recent weeks. The government portfolio holds BTC worth over $2.8 billion, which comes from a wallet associated with the German Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA). In 2013, the BKA seized nearly 50,000 Bitcoins from a website involved in film piracy.

  • Mt. Gox will begin distributing $9 billion in Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash repayments starting in July. The transfers are expected to last at least several months.

The risk of additional supply pressure is relatively high. The potential $11.8 billion represents nearly 80% of the total inflows to ETFs since the beginning of January, including outflows from the Grayscale fund. However, the supply from Mt. Gox's distribution will be spread over months, and the full liquidation of the $2.8 billion from the BKA is not confirmed.

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On the other hand, a positive catalyst for the broader cryptocurrency sector could be the introduction of a spot Ethereum ETF, which is expected to launch in July. SEC Chairman Gensler claims that the process of approving the Ethereum ETF is progressing smoothly, with its launch anticipated in the summer. According to analysts, the SEC may approve Ethereum ETFs by July 4.

The content of this report has been created by XTB S.A., with its registered office in Warsaw, at Prosta 67, 00-838 Warsaw, Poland, (KRS number 0000217580) and supervised by Polish Supervision Authority ( No. DDM-M-4021-57-1/2005). This material is a marketing communication within the meaning of Art. 24 (3) of Directive 2014/65/EU of the European Parliament and of the Council of 15 May 2014 on markets in financial instruments and amending Directive 2002/92/EC and Directive 2011/61/EU (MiFID II). Marketing communication is not an investment recommendation or information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy within the meaning of Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 16 April 2014 on market abuse (market abuse regulation) and repealing Directive 2003/6/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council and Commission Directives 2003/124/EC, 2003/125/EC and 2004/72/EC and Commission Delegated Regulation (EU) 2016/958 of 9 March 2016 supplementing Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 of the European Parliament and of the Council with regard to regulatory technical standards for the technical arrangements for objective presentation of investment recommendations or other information recommending or suggesting an investment strategy and for disclosure of particular interests or indications of conflicts of interest or any other advice, including in the area of investment advisory, within the meaning of the Trading in Financial Instruments Act of 29 July 2005 (i.e. Journal of Laws 2019, item 875, as amended). The marketing communication is prepared with the highest diligence, objectivity, presents the facts known to the author on the date of preparation and is devoid of any evaluation elements. The marketing communication is prepared without considering the client’s needs, his individual financial situation and does not present any investment strategy in any way. The marketing communication does not constitute an offer of sale, offering, subscription, invitation to purchase, advertisement or promotion of any financial instruments. XTB S.A. is not liable for any client’s actions or omissions, in particular for the acquisition or disposal of financial instruments, undertaken on the basis of the information contained in this marketing communication. In the event that the marketing communication contains any information about any results regarding the financial instruments indicated therein, these do not constitute any guarantee or forecast regarding the future results.

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